that a profit/loss by holding the coins is not accounted for in this estimate. Check out these diagrams to get a feeling for. It is much easier to predict the relationship of the two parameters in form of the Mining Factor.
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The Bitcoin block mining reward halves every 210,000 blocks, the coin reward will decrease from 25.5 coins; Reward-Drop ETA date. Bitcoin difficulty, bitcoins per Block (BTC/block conversion rate (USD/BTC hash rate TH/sGH/sMH/s. If you are mining solo, the estimated expected Bitcoin earnings can vary greatly depending on your luck and stale/reject/orphan rate. This might partly be compensated by falling difficulty, raising prices, higher transfer fees, etc. Some people use watercooled rigs for floor heating. The estimate starts with the current Mining Factor and decreases it exponentially such that the decrease accounts for the factor decline per year. Other byproducts could be noise and an angry wife. Unless you want to do pool hopping you should go to a gegenwert bitcoin pool with hopping protection.
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